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Does Removing The Hst on New Builds Affect Guelph’s Resale Market?

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Efforts to make new homes more affordable across Ontario could have a noticeable impact on Guelph’s resale market. As new construction becomes more attainable, some buyers may shift away from resale properties, creating more competition for sellers. This can lead to longer days on market, more price sensitivity, and a slowdown in price growth—especially for homes that directly compete with new builds. However, this doesn’t mean values will drop significantly; in many cases, it simply helps balance the market and ease the intense upward pressure we’ve seen in recent years.

March Market Update – Guelph

The Guelph real estate market showed signs of rebalancing in March, with the average sale price reaching $770,204. Sales activity softened, with 119 homes sold—down 13% year-over-year—while average days on market increased to 36 days, a 37% rise from last year. These shifts suggest buyers are taking more time and being more selective, a notable change from the fast-paced conditions of recent years.

Inventory continues to build, with 514 active listings representing 4.3 months of supply, giving buyers more choice and negotiating power. This is reflected in the average sale-to-list price ratio of 97.3%, indicating homes are still selling close to asking, but with more room for negotiation than we’ve seen in the past. Overall, the market is moving toward a more balanced state—offering opportunities for buyers, while reinforcing the importance of strategic pricing and presentation for sellers.

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